Spatial equity in healthcare accessibility for ageing populations: an enhanced two-step floating catchment area analysis in Antalya, Türkiye
Abstract
Conventional spatial accessibility metrics treat the population aged 65 years and over as homogeneous, despite well-documented declines in mobility across age sub-groups that may conceal disadvantage affecting the oldest-old. This cross-sectional ecological study quantified age-stratified inequality in healthcare accessibility across the 19 districts of Antalya province, Turkey. An age-stratified, topographically-adjusted enhanced two-step floating catchment area (AT-E2SFCA) method was developed, incorporating age-specific catchment parameters for sub-groups aged 65–74, 75–84 and 85 years and over; decoupled sub-models for acute (hospital) and preventive (primary care) services; and a topographic correction of effective travel distance. Data on 44 hospitals, 295 family health centres, 17 dialysis centres, 8 oncology centres and 920 pharmacies were obtained from official registries. Inequality was assessed using Gini coefficients, global Moran's I and Local Indicators of Spatial Association (LISA); sensitivity analyses addressed both catchment parameters and the topographic correction. Aggregate measures for those aged 65 and over underestimated inequality affecting the oldest-old by 34% for acute care and 49% for preventive care. The acute Gini coefficient rose from 0.262 (aged 65–74) to 0.362 (aged 85 and over), approaching severe inequality, whereas the aggregate composite (0.271) remained moderate. Acute and preventive disadvantage patterns were partially independent. LISA identified a high-accessibility urban core and peripheral low-access districts. A 150-bed hospital scenario was equity-neutral and locally beneficial, whereas a 250-bed expansion mildly worsened inequality by concentrating capacity. Age-disaggregated, service-decoupled accessibility metrics are essential for equity-focused geriatric health planning; strategic facility siting, rather than undifferentiated capacity expansion, drives equity gains.
Ethics Approval
Not applicable.
Supporting Agencies
This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial or not-for-profit sectors.
Data Availability Statement
All data are publicly available (TÜİK: https://data.tuik.gov.tr; Antalya Provincial Health Directorate: https://antalyaism.saglik.gov.tr). Analysis code and processed datasets are openly available at Zenodo: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.21427039.
References
- Allison PD, 1978. Measures of inequality. American Sociological Review 43:865–80. DOI: https://doi.org/10.2307/2094626
- Anselin L, 1995. Local indicators of spatial association—LISA. Geographical Analysis 27:93–115. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1538-4632.1995.tb00338.x
- Anstey KJ, Wood J, Lord S, Walker JG, 2005. Cognitive, sensorimotor and psychological factors associated with older driver behaviour. Clinical Psychology Review 25:45–65. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cpr.2004.07.008
- Bauer J, Groneberg DA, 2016. Measuring spatial accessibility of health care providers — introduction of a variable distance decay function. PLoS One 11:e0159148. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0159148
- Cheng G, Zeng X, Duan L, Lu X, Sun H, Jiang T, Li Y, 2016. Spatial difference analysis for accessibility to high-level hospitals based on travel time in Shenzhen, China. Habitat International 53:485–94. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.habitatint.2015.12.023
- Currie J, Grenfell B, Farrar J, 2021. A geographic analysis of primary healthcare provision for older adults. BMC Health Services Research 21:1086.
- Farr TG, Rosen PA, Caro E, Crippen R, Duren R, Hensley S, Kobrick M, Paller M, Rodriguez E, Roth L, Seal D, Shaffer S, Shimada J, Umland J, Werner M, Oskin M, Burbank D, Alsdorf D, 2007. The Shuttle Radar Topography Mission. Rev Geoph 45:RG2004. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1029/2005RG000183
- Higher Education Council, 2019. Higher Education Institutions Scientific Research and Publication Ethics Directive. Council of Higher Education of Turkey, Ankara.
- Kianfar N, Yao XA, Kiani B, Mollalo A, 2026. Examining the association between spatial accessibility to emergency cardiac care centers and cardiovascular mortality in Georgia, United States. BMC Cardiovascular Disorders 26:06109. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1186/s12872-026-06109-9
- Luo J, Chen G, Li C, Xia B, Sun X, Chen S, 2018. Use of an E2SFCA method to measure and analyse spatial accessibility to medical services for elderly people in Wuhan, China. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 15:1503. DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph15071503
- Luo W, Qi Y, 2009. An enhanced two-step floating catchment area (E2SFCA) method for measuring spatial accessibility to primary care physicians. Health & Place 15:1100–7. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.healthplace.2009.06.002
- McGrail MR, Humphreys JS, 2014. Measuring spatial accessibility to primary health care services: utilising dynamic catchment sizes. Applied Geography 54:182–8. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2014.08.005
- Mollenkopf H, Marcellini F, Ruoppila I, Széman Z, Tacken M (Eds.), 2011. Enhancing mobility in later life. IOS Press, Amsterdam.
- Penchansky R, Thomas JW, 1981. The concept of access: definition and relationship to consumer satisfaction. Medical Care 19:127–40. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1097/00005650-198102000-00001
- Tobler W, 1993. Three presentations on geographical analysis and modeling. National Center for Geographic Information and Analysis, Technical Report 93-1.
- TÜİK, 2025. Address-based population registration system results and elderly statistics 2025. Turkish Statistical Institute, Ankara.
- United Nations, 2024. World population prospects 2024: summary of results. UN Department of Economic and Social Affairs, New York.
- Wan N, Zou B, Sternberg T, 2012. A three-step floating catchment area method for analyzing spatial access to health services. International Journal of Geographical Information Science 26:1073–89. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1080/13658816.2011.624987
- Wang F, Luo W, 2005. Assessing spatial and nonspatial factors for healthcare access. Health & Place 11:131–46. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.healthplace.2004.02.003
- Webber SC, Porter MM, Menec VH, 2010. Mobility in older adults: a comprehensive framework. Gerontologist 50:443–50. DOI: https://doi.org/10.1093/geront/gnq013
- World Health Organization, 2015. World report on ageing and health. WHO, Geneva.
Metrics
Citations and online attention from Dimensions, Altmetric and PlumX.
License
Copyright (c) 2026 the Author(s)

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
PAGEPress has chosen to apply the Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial 4.0 International License (CC BY-NC 4.0) to all manuscripts to be published.