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Climate impact on malaria in northern Burkina Faso

Yves M. Tourre, Cécile Vignolles, Christian Viel, Flore Mounier
  • Yves M. Tourre
    Météo-France, Toulouse, France; Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States |
  • Cécile Vignolles
    Centre National d’Etudes Spatiales (CNES), Toulouse, France
  • Christian Viel
    Météo-France, Toulouse, France
  • Flore Mounier
    CapGemini Technology Services, Toulouse, France


The Paluclim project managed by the French Centre National d’Etudes Spatiales (CNES) found that total rainfall for a 3-month period is a confounding factor for the density of malaria vectors in the region of Nouna in the Sahel administrative territory of northern Burkina Faso. Following the models introduced in 1999 by Craig et al. and in 2003 by Tanser et al., a climate impact model for malaria risk (using different climate indices) was created. Several predictions of this risk at different temporal scales (i.e. seasonal, inter-annual and low-frequency) were assessed using this climate model. The main result of this investigation was the discovery of a significant link between malaria risk and low-frequency rainfall variability related to the Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation (AMO). This result is critical for the health information systems in this region. Knowledge of the AMO phases would help local authorities to organise preparedness and prevention of malaria, which is of particular importance in the climate change context.


Malaria; Atlantic multi-decadal oscillation; Sahelian rainfall; Climate change; Burkina Faso

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Submitted: 2017-06-30 16:07:09
Published: 2017-11-27 15:35:26
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